Economic-mathematical modeling and forecasting of competitiveness level of agricultural sector of Ukraine by means of theory of fuzzy sets under conditions of integration into European market

Abstract

The processes of integration of Ukraine into the European Economic Community, the presence of powerful competitors in the European markets encourage the formation of a set of measures with the distinction of tools to ensure the competitiveness of the agro-industrial complex of the state. The necessity of ensuring the competitiveness of Ukraine's agro-industrial complex on the basis of determining the competitive advantages dictate the urgency of scientific search for new methods, forms, tools for its enhancement, which will further promote the market relations in Ukraine and will have a direct impact on the well-being of the population. The aim of the work is to develop an innovative economic-mathematical model for assessing and forecasting the grade of competitiveness of the agricultural sector of Ukraine based on fuzzy sets, which will allow acceleration of the process of Ukraine integration into the European market. The object of the research is the process of ensuring the competitiveness of the Ukrainian agricultural sector. The subject of the research is methodological aspects of economic and mathematical modeling of the competitiveness of the agrarian sector of Ukraine. The methodology of the study is based on the principles and mathematical provisions of fuzzy sets, which allows to use both qualitative and quantitative indicators of influence on the process under study. As a result of the research, based on fuzzy set theory, which allows taking into account both quantitative and qualitative factors of influence on the level of competitiveness, an innovative economic-mathematical model of valuation and forecasting of the grade of competitiveness of the agricultural sector of Ukraine has been developed. The classification of factors influencing the level of agrarian industry competitiveness has been formed. The forecast of the grade of competitiveness of the agricultural sector of Ukraine in 2025 has been made, which will allow formulating a strategy of development of the agricultural sector of Ukraine.