Abstract:
The paper provides a simulation of the occurrence of Ambrosia pollen in Ukraine
both in terms of a determination of the regions with high pollen concentrations
and the time when the high pollen load occurs. Simulation was performed using
the SILAM system and the following pollen mapping using the Grid Analysis and
Display System. Simulation results were compared with the aerobiological data
available from six monitoring stations in Ukraine. A decrease in the concentrations
of Ambrosia pollen, the duration of the Ambrosia season, and patient exposure to
the Ambrosia pollen were apparent from SE to NW of Ukraine. A close correlation
between the modeled and actually registered pollen concentration values and ragweed
pollen release periods was observed in all the cities for which the Ambrosia pollen
monitoring data had been collected. Further investigations are required to provide
accurate forecasts for other types of airborne allergens.
